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  • Applied Analytics
    • Analytics for Decision Making >
      • What is Cluster Analysis
      • Data Reduction and Unsupervised Learning
      • Preparing Data and Measuring Dissimilarities
      • Hierarchical and k-Means Clustering
      • Defining Output Variables and Analyzing the Results
      • Using Historical Data to Model Uncertainty
      • Models with Correlated Uncertain Variables
      • Creating and Interpreting Charts
      • Using Average Values versus Simulation
      • Optimization and Decision Making
      • Formulating an Optimization Problem
      • Developing a Spreadsheet Model
      • Adding Optimization to a Spreadsheet Model
      • What-if Analysis and the Sensitivity Report
      • Evaluating Scenarios and Visualizing Results to Gain Practical Insights
      • Digital Marketing Application of Optimization
      • Advanced Models for Better Decisions
      • Business Problems with Yes/No Decisions
      • Formulation and Solution of Binary Optimization Problems
      • Metaheuristic Optimization
      • Chance Constraints and Value At Risk
      • Simulation Optimization
    • Analytics for Marketing >
      • Marketing Analytics and Customer Satisfaction
      • Customer Satisfaction
      • Measurements and Scaling Techniques – Introduction
      • Primary Scales of Measurement
      • Comparative Scaling
      • Non-Comparative Scaling
      • Experiment Design: Controlling for Experimental Errors
      • A/B Testing: Introduction
      • A/B Testing: Types of Tests
      • ANOVA – Introduction
      • Example -Inspect Spray and Tooth Growth
      • Logit Model - Binary Outome and Forecastign linear regression
      • Text Summarization
      • Social media Microscope
      • N-Gram - Frequcy Count and phase mining
      • LDA Topic Modeling
      • Machine-Learned Classification and Semantic Topic Tagging
    • Data Engine >
      • Understanding The Growth Of Data
      • Evaluating Methods Of Data Access
      • Communication journey
      • Data Journey
      • Planning for data visualisation
      • Visualisation Component
      • Content Connection and Chart Legitibility
    • Customer Insights >
      • Introduction
      • What is Descriptive Analytics?
      • Survey Overview
      • Net Promoter Score and Self-Reports
      • Survey Design
      • Passive Data Collection
      • Media Planning
      • Data Visualization
      • Causal Data Collection and Summary
      • Asking Predictive Questions
      • Regression Analysis
      • Data Set Predictions
      • Probability Models
      • Results and Predictions
      • Perspective Analytics (Maximize Revenue and Market Structure Competitions)
    • Analytics for Advance Marketing >
      • Visualisation and statistics (Political Advertising,Movie Theater and Data Assembly)
      • Excel Analysis of Motion Picture Industry Data
      • Displaying Conditional Distributions
      • Analyzing Qualitative Variables
      • Steps in Constructing Histograms
      • Common Descriptive Statistics for Quantitative Data
      • Regression-Based Modeling
      • Customer Analytics
      • Illustrating Customer Analytics in Excel
      • Customer Valuation Excel Demonstration
  • Soft Skills
    • Adaptability
    • Confidence
    • Change Management
    • Unlearning and Learning
    • Collaboration and Teamwork
    • Cultural Sensitivity
  • Marketing
  • Finance
  • Economics
    • Introduction to Managerial Economics >
      • Basic Techniques
      • The firm: Stakeholders, Objectives and Decision Issues
      • Demand and Revenue Analysis >
        • Demand Estimation and Forecasting
        • Demand Elasticity
        • Demand Concepts and Analysis >
          • Formulation and Solution of Binary Optimization Problems
      • Scope of Managerial Economics
    • Prodution and Cost Analysis >
      • Production Function
      • Estimation of Production and Cost Functions
      • Cost Concepts and Analysis I
      • Cost Concepts and Analysis II
    • Pricing Decisions >
      • Pricing strategies >
        • Adding Optimization to a Spreadsheet Model
      • Market structure and microbes barriers to entry
      • Pricing under pure competition and pure monopoly
      • Pricing under monopolistic and oligopolistic competition
    • Narendra Modi Development Model of Gujarat
  • JBDON Golf
    • Digital Marketing Application of Optimization
  • Let's Talk
  • MBA Project Sharing
  • About Us
    • Good Read >
      • IIMC says PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi was an average student
      • India’s middle class figures in Fortune’s Top Ten list of those who matter
      • The Start-Up of you.
      • BUYING AND MERCHANDISING
      • HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
      • Do You Suffer From Decision Fatigue?
      • New Page
      • About social media and web 2.0
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 1
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 2
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 3
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 4
      • Renewable energy is no longer alternative energy
      • What Makes an Exceptional Social Media Manager?
      • The Forgotten Book that Helped Shape the Modern Economy
      • Home
      • How to Think Creatively
      • A Lighthearted Looks at Project Management and Sports Analogies
      • Why Trust Matters More Than Ever for Brands
  • CET Knowledge Zone
    • Tips From JBIMS Students >
      • Prasad Sawant
      • Chandan Roy
      • Ram
      • Ashmant Tiwari
      • Rajesh Rikame
      • Ami Kothari
      • Ankeet Adani
      • Sonam Jain
      • Marketing Analytics and Customer Satisfaction
      • Mitesh Thakker
      • Tresa Sankoorikal
    • Speed Techniques
    • CET Workshops
  • Untitled
  • New Page
    • Cluster analysis using excel and excel miner
    • Chance Constraints and Value At Risk
    • Adding Uncertainty to a Spreadsheet Model
  • Adidas

SALES FORECASTING IN MARKETING


Every act of preparing for the future implies some forecasting of impending conditions. In the context of
business management, forecasts can be used to support long-term strategic decisions, operational decisions
or short-term tactical decisions. Management requires forecasting information when making a wide range of
decisions. The sales forecast is particularly important, as it is the foundation upon which all company plans
are built in terms of markets and revenue.

Management would be a simple matter if business were not in a continual state of change, the pace of which
has quickened in recent years. The result of this constant change, however, is that business tasks are
becoming more complex and business decisions are being more long-term in nature. It is becoming
increasingly important and necessary for businesses to predict their future prospects in terms of sales, costs
and profits. The value of future sales is crucial as it affects costs and profits, so the prediction of future sales
is the logical starting point for all business planning. Thus, the company's customers and their likely
purchasing behavior during the period to come are the starting point for business planning, and this idea
lies at the very heart of all marketing activity.

As well as helping to plan expansion into new markets and new product lines, forecasting can also be
viewed as the act of giving advance warning in time for beneficial action to be taken. In order to predict the
future it is usual to examine the past in order to observe trends over periods, and to establish the degree of
probability with which these trends are likely to repeat themselves in the future. Future predictions are
therefore inherently wrong as they are based upon probability; it is up to management to decide upon the
degree of imprecision that can be tolerated when planning. One general rule, which can be applied to
forecasting, is that forecasts that are more accurate will be more expensive than less accurate ones because
they employ more sophisticated analyses in their computation.

Forecasting techniques can be either subjective or objective. Subjective techniques are generally based upon
qualitative opinion or intuition; objective techniques are normally quantitatively based and use
mathematical analysis in their computation. Objective techniques are in turn divided into trend projections
of previous sales, and causal methods which attempt to assess the relationship between two or more
variables.

The availability of appropriate data is of central importance to the development of a forecasting system.
Depending upon the degree of accuracy required, most forecasting techniques require a considerable
amount of data to be collected and analyzed. This data must then be judged in terms of its usefulness and
validity in the forecasting process. Selection of the most suitable forecasting technique will in turn depend
on the availability of existing data and the company's ability to access this data.
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  • Home
  • Applied Analytics
    • Analytics for Decision Making >
      • What is Cluster Analysis
      • Data Reduction and Unsupervised Learning
      • Preparing Data and Measuring Dissimilarities
      • Hierarchical and k-Means Clustering
      • Defining Output Variables and Analyzing the Results
      • Using Historical Data to Model Uncertainty
      • Models with Correlated Uncertain Variables
      • Creating and Interpreting Charts
      • Using Average Values versus Simulation
      • Optimization and Decision Making
      • Formulating an Optimization Problem
      • Developing a Spreadsheet Model
      • Adding Optimization to a Spreadsheet Model
      • What-if Analysis and the Sensitivity Report
      • Evaluating Scenarios and Visualizing Results to Gain Practical Insights
      • Digital Marketing Application of Optimization
      • Advanced Models for Better Decisions
      • Business Problems with Yes/No Decisions
      • Formulation and Solution of Binary Optimization Problems
      • Metaheuristic Optimization
      • Chance Constraints and Value At Risk
      • Simulation Optimization
    • Analytics for Marketing >
      • Marketing Analytics and Customer Satisfaction
      • Customer Satisfaction
      • Measurements and Scaling Techniques – Introduction
      • Primary Scales of Measurement
      • Comparative Scaling
      • Non-Comparative Scaling
      • Experiment Design: Controlling for Experimental Errors
      • A/B Testing: Introduction
      • A/B Testing: Types of Tests
      • ANOVA – Introduction
      • Example -Inspect Spray and Tooth Growth
      • Logit Model - Binary Outome and Forecastign linear regression
      • Text Summarization
      • Social media Microscope
      • N-Gram - Frequcy Count and phase mining
      • LDA Topic Modeling
      • Machine-Learned Classification and Semantic Topic Tagging
    • Data Engine >
      • Understanding The Growth Of Data
      • Evaluating Methods Of Data Access
      • Communication journey
      • Data Journey
      • Planning for data visualisation
      • Visualisation Component
      • Content Connection and Chart Legitibility
    • Customer Insights >
      • Introduction
      • What is Descriptive Analytics?
      • Survey Overview
      • Net Promoter Score and Self-Reports
      • Survey Design
      • Passive Data Collection
      • Media Planning
      • Data Visualization
      • Causal Data Collection and Summary
      • Asking Predictive Questions
      • Regression Analysis
      • Data Set Predictions
      • Probability Models
      • Results and Predictions
      • Perspective Analytics (Maximize Revenue and Market Structure Competitions)
    • Analytics for Advance Marketing >
      • Visualisation and statistics (Political Advertising,Movie Theater and Data Assembly)
      • Excel Analysis of Motion Picture Industry Data
      • Displaying Conditional Distributions
      • Analyzing Qualitative Variables
      • Steps in Constructing Histograms
      • Common Descriptive Statistics for Quantitative Data
      • Regression-Based Modeling
      • Customer Analytics
      • Illustrating Customer Analytics in Excel
      • Customer Valuation Excel Demonstration
  • Soft Skills
    • Adaptability
    • Confidence
    • Change Management
    • Unlearning and Learning
    • Collaboration and Teamwork
    • Cultural Sensitivity
  • Marketing
  • Finance
  • Economics
    • Introduction to Managerial Economics >
      • Basic Techniques
      • The firm: Stakeholders, Objectives and Decision Issues
      • Demand and Revenue Analysis >
        • Demand Estimation and Forecasting
        • Demand Elasticity
        • Demand Concepts and Analysis >
          • Formulation and Solution of Binary Optimization Problems
      • Scope of Managerial Economics
    • Prodution and Cost Analysis >
      • Production Function
      • Estimation of Production and Cost Functions
      • Cost Concepts and Analysis I
      • Cost Concepts and Analysis II
    • Pricing Decisions >
      • Pricing strategies >
        • Adding Optimization to a Spreadsheet Model
      • Market structure and microbes barriers to entry
      • Pricing under pure competition and pure monopoly
      • Pricing under monopolistic and oligopolistic competition
    • Narendra Modi Development Model of Gujarat
  • JBDON Golf
    • Digital Marketing Application of Optimization
  • Let's Talk
  • MBA Project Sharing
  • About Us
    • Good Read >
      • IIMC says PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi was an average student
      • India’s middle class figures in Fortune’s Top Ten list of those who matter
      • The Start-Up of you.
      • BUYING AND MERCHANDISING
      • HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
      • Do You Suffer From Decision Fatigue?
      • New Page
      • About social media and web 2.0
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 1
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 2
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 3
      • Building Your Own Start-up Technology Company, Part 4
      • Renewable energy is no longer alternative energy
      • What Makes an Exceptional Social Media Manager?
      • The Forgotten Book that Helped Shape the Modern Economy
      • Home
      • How to Think Creatively
      • A Lighthearted Looks at Project Management and Sports Analogies
      • Why Trust Matters More Than Ever for Brands
  • CET Knowledge Zone
    • Tips From JBIMS Students >
      • Prasad Sawant
      • Chandan Roy
      • Ram
      • Ashmant Tiwari
      • Rajesh Rikame
      • Ami Kothari
      • Ankeet Adani
      • Sonam Jain
      • Marketing Analytics and Customer Satisfaction
      • Mitesh Thakker
      • Tresa Sankoorikal
    • Speed Techniques
    • CET Workshops
  • Untitled
  • New Page
    • Cluster analysis using excel and excel miner
    • Chance Constraints and Value At Risk
    • Adding Uncertainty to a Spreadsheet Model
  • Adidas